- The Eurozone impact on buying and selling in Greece
Written by Mathew Edwards, Foremost Currency Group (www.foremostcurrencygroup.co.uk)
Last week we witnessed another volatile week for Sterling against the single currency with a 3.2% fluctuation in exchange rates across the week. In real money terms this equated to a difference of over £5500 when purchasing €200,000.
The movements came following a series of economic announcements in both the UK and the Eurozone, further proving the fragile state of both economies and in turn their respective currencies.
The main details of note from a UK perspective came in the shape of the consumer price index (which is a measure of inflation), showing a hike by 0.6% taking the annual rate to 3.7%, higher than the expected 3.5% that had been forecast making the current level the highest seen in 17 months.
This was followed by the bank of England minutes which showed an expected 9-0 vote from the Monetary Policy Committee to hold interest rates at 0.5% and pause its quantitative easing program at £200. The final piece of data released on Friday saw the UK’s budget deficit revised down to £156 from £163, providing a glimmer of hope and welcome news for buyers from the UK in light of a good deal of otherwise negative variables.
With reducing this figure a top priority for newly instated Prime Minister Cameron and Deputy Prime Minister Clegg, the news has been well received as the new coalition government attempt to bring the UK out of the financial crisis it is still in.
In the Eurozone, the biggest news of the week came from Germany where Chancellor Angela Merkel announced a ban on naked short selling. This caused investors to sell off the Euro causing some short term weakness for the single currency. Also, Spain’s central bank has decided to bail out regional savings bank CajaSur with $621.75 million (500 million euros), causing investors to worry that Spain’s savings banks are in more trouble than the country can handle. This was followed by negative economic sentiment figures from Germany, Greece and the Eurozone as a whole. The fragility of the Euro is sending shockwaves through the EU, as in the case of the Greece bail out package, Greece will benefit yet the German economy will suffer. As these countries lean on one another in the interest of generating support for the single currency, it inevitably feels the strain of such economic unrest.
Euro weakness hurting the pound (Risk Aversion)
The weak Euro is also not helping the pound. All of the euro worries have led to general weakness in risky assets and that’s typically not good news for sterling. It’s more selling of risk than anything else – Sterling is seen as a riskier currency, and so when things are uncertain as they are now, it drives investment towards the safe haven US Dollar – that’s why we have seen Dollar strength of late, and the pound and Euro are comparatively weak. This trend was kick-started by the downgrading of Greece’s sovereign debt rating and as people took to the streets of Athens, concerned investors moved their money from the Euro to the safe haven US Dollar. The downgrading of Spain and Portugal swiftly followed and a fortnight ago at a summit of EU leaders in Brussels, reports surfaced of Nicolas Sarkosy threatening to pull France from the Euro if Germany failed to fall in line with the proposed bail out plan for Greece. Although these claims have since been denied, Germany did conveniently change their tact and agreed to fall in line.
What does this mean for people buying property in Greece?
For people looking to buy a property in Greece or on any of the Greek Islands, this may be an opportune time to take advantage of the weakening Euro. If you are looking to exchange Sterling, Scandinavian Krona or Swiss Francs to Euros for your property purchase on Skopelos or anywhere throughout Greece, you are guaranteed to get a good live commercial rate when using a specialist in foreign currency exchange. The difference between a commercial rate and the tourist rate can mean a difference of thousands when exchanging larger sums. Specialists can be found at brokerages like the Foremost Currency Group www.foremostcurrencygroup.co.uk , where I will be able navigate you through the entire process of foreign exchange, keeping you aware of what the markets are doing and why.
Contact Mathew Edwards - Click here
Currency consultant and FX Trader at Foremost Currency Group
www.foremostcurrencygroup.co.uk
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