- Greece Impress’s ECB and IMF
This report is brought to you by Ian Daly at Exel Currencies
Following their visit to Athens from July 26 to August 5 for the first quarterly review of the Greek government’s economic program, staff teams from the, ECB and IMF issued a press release, noting that their overall assessment is that the programme has made a strong start.
BoG released its Financial Stability Report – July 2010, in which among other statistical figures BoG is stressing out that in 2010 credit risk is expected to remain high and also that Greek banks should consider (at the same time) initiatives like alliances and/or mergers to basically try and spread the risk.
The Financial Minister announced that Greece will increase the government guarantees offered on banks which will reach EUR 55bn bringing the entire support plan (including special government bonds and state preference shares) to EUR 68bn or 30% of GDP, still below levels offered by other EU-members in the past.
Greece expects to pass a tax reform bill early March, with a view to boosting revenues from 2011, the country’s finance minister said on Friday. “The big bet of our tax reform is the broadening of the tax base,” Finance Minister George Papaconstantinou told a news conference. His comments came after Fitch and Standard and Poor’s both downgraded the debt-laden country’s rating earlier this month over concerns about its deteriorating finances, sending its bonds and stocks tumbling. “Moody’s will take its decision in the coming weeks,” Papaconstantinou said, adding that Wednesday’s rating downgrade by S&P had been expected.
What does this mean to you?
With a mix of good and bad news this week the GBP – EUR rate has not moved much and has stayed between €1.2003 – €1.2085. There has being added pressure on the pound from the PPI figures which is a break down of the overall GDP figure. The most important of the PPI’s is the Services which accounts for 80%, this saw a drop from 58.4% to 54.1%. If this continues this will most definitely see the pound lose against the Euro.
Outlook
In the short term the pressure is still on the pound and anything over €1.19 is still a reasonable exchange rate. However in the long term the pound should gain but if figures continue to disappoint gradually, the pound will struggle on its next set of GDP figures which some analysts are already predicting to be weaker then the previous quarter. The next set of interesting figures will be the inflation figures and the Minutes of the BoE interest rate decision. If we see more then one member voting for interest rate hike then this could help the pound rally against the Euro but best not to hold your breath for that as the BoE have already shown that they can be slow to move the base interest rate which is currently at 0.50%.
Last weeks case study
Last week we had a Miss Jennifer Steed who has to make her monthly mortgage payment along with bills which comes to €1,695. As this payment is smaller then a typical payment I suggested that Jennifer be put into one of our Group Bookings to achieve a better exchange rate.
What Excel did was group Jennifer’s funds with 15 other clients who were looking to exchange roughly the same amount and in total we ended up buying €25,500. Which meant our bank gave Excel a better exchange rate which we simply passed onto all 15 clients. This meant that instead of getting an exchange rate of €1.1725 we were able to achieve a group rate of €1.1931.
This week
This week we will be continuing to deal with Jennifer as over the next 2 weeks she will need to make a larger payment for building maintenance she’s having done on her property.
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For information about buying and building property in Greece
Buy a home in Greece
Legal guide for buying property in Greece
Buying property in Greece – Legal Guide










